Objectively, the grounds exist for a national dispute. The CPI(H) rate of inflation rose by 3.4% in the 12 months to March but the Government has based plans on 2.8% public sector pay increases. Whilst the remit figure for the UK Civil Service may end up just over the inflation rate, depending on price movements, an average pay increase covers a multitude of possibilities and sins, and many of us will get below inflation. In any case, departments have to self-fund this year’s pay increases, and that will mean departments either not offering the remit figure or cutting more staff to fund any increase.
For certain, the 2025/26 pay remit will not:
· Begin to make up for 14-16 years’ decline in our real pay
· Permanently lift the many tens of thousands of civil servants off the minimum wage
· Fund a system for permanent, automatic progression
· End the 2/3 tier workforce
· Deliver improvements across the board to annual leave or reduce the working week
At the same time as squeezing our wages the Government is intent on job cuts. We need a national job protection and use of AI agreement to be an essential element of the national campaign. The situation in the Scottish and Welsh civil service and Met Police is not so bad, but it is not good enough to mean that members do not need a campaign in those areas as well.
It is an unfortunate truth, however, that the incoming LU NEC will see a continuation of the politics of quiescence, combined with some occasional bombastic statements.
Remember LU’s promise to hold Labour’s feet to the flame? Serious moves to campaigning and balloting will therefore only happen if ADC sets instructions and branches/groups successfully demand their implementation. PCS IL has argued for decades for hard-hitting selective action, supported by a financial war chest, alongside serious national action. While the 2022/23 campaign saw a lot of paid selective action, it was more limited than it needed to be; because it was funded by an ad-hoc, belatedly scrambled together levy, not an existing war chest, and there was little national action. Unsurprisingly, the then-LU leadership failed to achieve a single one of the 22/23 pay demands and delivered the lowest public sector pay increase in 23/24.
The sabotage over the last 12 months of the outgoing NEC, by the LU General Secretary and President with the support of the LU NEC minority, means that the ground has not been prepared for a successful ballot. LU will not move quickly to put right what they have put wrong. Indeed, they are looking to deplete the Fighting Fund and want to impose a year-long ‘consultation’ on future levy provisions. Neither bodes well for chances of a dispute this year.
Critically, PCS is a minority union, with less than 50% and shrinking density in many areas, making industrial action harder to win and less effective. But LU refuse to even acknowledge the problem, despite density being the basic question of union power: If you want to hold Starmer’s feet to the fire, build the union!
Campaigning, and standing up for ourselves is key to successfully rebuilding PCS. Through serious activity, we can win new activists, win more pay, and defend jobs.






